Oil price toward new highs, bad news for Central Bankers
When oil surged above $90 a barrel a few days ago, observers attributed it to military tensions between Israel and Iran. However, the underlying reasons...
Tag: inflation
Monetary policy divergences: towards a significant asset allocation shift
The European Central Bank insists that it will independently decide on the course of its monetary policy compared to the Fed. In this case, this...
Probabilities of a rate cut in June drop
Last week, the amount of Fed rate cuts priced into swap contracts for this year fell to less than 65 basis points, below the Fed’s...
FED leaves rates unchanged and remains vague about the future
Interpreting the Fed’s decision is more complicated than what the market wanted to take away. The good news is that Fed officials maintained their forecast...
BOJ opens a new era
The Bank of Japan has ended the most aggressive monetary stimulus program in modern history, removing the last negative interest rate in the world and...
The Fed will take a pragmatic and data-dependent approach
Rates rose in 2022 and 2023 at the fastest pace in four decades as the central bank sought to contain inflation. Today, as price pressures...
And if the Fed doesn’t cut rates
The only question on investors’ minds today is how soon the Fed will begin cutting interest rates and by how much.After a strong jobs report,...
Divergence in monetary policy ahead
As national factors take precedence over global trends, divergences emerge among the monetary policies of major economies. Pioneering inflation targeting in the early 1990s, New...
Resilience of the US Economy Dampens Rate Cut Expectations
US 10-year yields rose by five basis points in Asia after surging by 14 basis points on Friday following the US employment data. Federal Reserve...