Why an American Recession Should Remain the Main Scenario
Could the Fed be wrong? In its recent projections, including the one for 2024, with a 50 bps decrease, the central bank no longer considers...
Category: Developped World
The European economy and China: the beginning of a trade war?
The stricter approach of the European Union towards China is shaped by French concerns that Beijing’s trade practices are starting to pose a critical threat...
Is the world heading towards stagflation?
Millions of borrowers worldwide face a generation’s most radical monetary tightening campaign. If we are near the end of the economic cycle, several structural elements...
New Rise in Inflation in the US
Underlying inflation in the United States accelerated at a faster-than-expected monthly pace in August, leaving the door open for further interest rate hikes by the...
A slump in the Eurozone economy
Growth barely increased in the second quarter, with GDP only rising by 0.1%, as opposed to the initial estimate of 0.3% at the end of...
The August Employment Report Calls for a Fed Pause in September, But…
In the United States, hiring rebounded in August, and wage growth slowed, presenting a mixed picture of resilience and moderation in the labour market.Nonfarm payrolls...
Germany: Inflation and Far Right, a Dangerous Mix
The surge in energy costs has triggered a recession that has exposed economic vulnerabilities. Simultaneously, increased inequalities are fueling the resurgence of far-right political forces....
An American banking system still under pressure
At the beginning of the month, Moody’s lowered the credit ratings of 10 American banks and announced the possibility of further downgrades. Two weeks after...
The European banking sector under pressure?
The European Central Bank is set to test the resilience of the continent’s banking sector by requiring lenders to repay around 500 billion euros of...