As it seems, Donald Trump has clinched the election, ushering in an era that promises higher tariffs, strained alliances, and a judiciary that may reshape American society for decades. With Republicans also taking control of the Senate, the United States is now on course for a sweeping conservative shift—especially regarding judicial appointments. In what could be a defining legacy, Trump’s administration will have a free hand to nominate conservative judges, potentially remoulding American law and values, not just for the next four years but for generations.

Expect the price of consumer goods to jump in line with Trump’s vision of increased tariffs, especially on imports from China and Mexico. The argument is that bringing manufacturing back to U.S. soil is a win for American workers. But, in reality, these tariffs might only deepen inflation, putting additional strain on consumers who will bear the brunt of rising costs on everything from electronics to car parts. The economic policy here seems simple: pay more to bring jobs “home.” However, the American middle class may find itself digging deeper into its pockets, hardly a relief in already uncertain economic times.
On the diplomatic front, the new era of tariffs and protectionism risks sparking friction with long-standing allies. Already on the receiving end of Trump’s past rhetoric and trade policies, Mexico could brace itself for more tensions. Trade restrictions with a direct neighbour could disrupt cross-border supply chains, putting both American and Mexican industries at a disadvantage. As for China, the icy relations are set to continue, with tariffs likely to escalate, pushing the two superpowers even further apart. The implications could be costly for a nation whose tech and retail industries rely heavily on Chinese imports.

Israel may find itself in an awkward position. After showing America’s limitations in the Middle East under previous administrations, Israel might be expecting more support from a Trump-led administration keen to reassert its influence. However, with Trump’s desire to “restore American prestige,” the focus may shift to demonstrating power over fostering alliances. If anything, Israel might be looking at a more transactional relationship, where support from the U.S. comes with an expectation of public compliance. After all, there’s a delicate balance to be struck between maintaining influence and preventing the Middle East from further spiralling into conflict.

For Europe, Trump’s return to the White House could mean a shift in U.S. policy on Ukraine, which sees America retreating from its active role. Europe might be left to navigate the Ukrainian crisis mainly on its own, while also managing the economic ripples from a more isolationist America. Additionally, Trump’s propensity for questioning NATO’s relevance could shake up Europe’s defence strategy, nudging the EU to reconsider its reliance on American support.
On the economic front, Europe can hardly celebrate the prospect of heightened U.S. tariffs. With sluggish growth and a shaky post-pandemic recovery, trade friction with the U.S. could exacerbate Europe’s economic concerns. The “America First” agenda might mean less room for European exports in the U.S., putting pressure on industries from Germany’s car manufacturers to France’s luxury goods.

With Republicans controlling the Senate, Trump’s victory holds even more profound implications for American democracy. The administration now has a golden opportunity to appoint conservative judges at every level, reshaping the U.S. judiciary for decades. The result? A judicial landscape that may favour conservative values long after Trump’s time in office. For those concerned about democracy, this sweeping judicial shift signals a move toward a society in which policy could tilt further right on issues ranging from reproductive rights to environmental regulations.

In the grand scheme, Trump’s win isn’t just another election cycle—it marks a fundamental shift in America’s identity, both at home and abroad. For allies and rivals alike, the coming years could mean adapting to a very different America on the world stage.